The Nicolet-Bécancour race for Quebec’s National Assembly remains highly competitive ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, with projections from late August showing CAQ incumbent Donald Martel, PQ candidate Jérôme Gagnon, and PCQ candidate Guillaume Langlois clustered in the mid-to-high 20s percent range and no clear frontrunner. Gagnon secured the PQ nomination in May after a contested vote, while Langlois was confirmed for the Conservatives in June and Martinbeault for the Liberals earlier in the year; these timelines and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept sentiment balanced. Provincial polling trends, the riding’s mixed partisan history on the new map, and the multi-party field sustain the tight trader consensus reflected in the current pricing.