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icon for Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Samoa

Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição

icon for Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Samoa

Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 23%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 18%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 23%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 18%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$0 Vol.

18%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$0 Vol.

16%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$1 Vol.

8%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$61 Vol.

7%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$81 Vol.

7%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 upholding of an Electoral Court ruling that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds, barring him and petitioner Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko from contesting under Samoa’s electoral rules. With nominations now closed, HRPP has endorsed Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu while multiple independents and smaller-party candidates have entered, producing a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender exceeding roughly 30 percent implied probability and the remainder clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on local voter turnout, village-level endorsements, and any late campaign developments that consolidate support behind one of the leading names before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$143
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election stems from the Court of Appeal’s June 2026 upholding of an Electoral Court ruling that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds, barring him and petitioner Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko from contesting under Samoa’s electoral rules. With nominations now closed, HRPP has endorsed Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu while multiple independents and smaller-party candidates have entered, producing a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, with no single contender exceeding roughly 30 percent implied probability and the remainder clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on local voter turnout, village-level endorsements, and any late campaign developments that consolidate support behind one of the leading names before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$143
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 26%, followed by "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição" is "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Falealili 1 Vencedor por Eleição" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.