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Política·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs
Política·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs

Charles Page 46%

Sébastien Schneeberger 45%

Myriam Cournoyer 45%

Polymarket
NOVO

Charles Page 46%

Sébastien Schneeberger 45%

Myriam Cournoyer 45%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Charles Page

Charles Page

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Sébastien Schneeberger

Sébastien Schneeberger

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Myriam Cournoyer

Myriam Cournoyer

$0 Vol.

45%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus in this Centre-du-Québec riding reflects a competitive three-way contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with PQ candidate Charles Page, CAQ incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger, and PCQ candidate Myriam Cournoyer positioned as the primary contenders following recent nominations. Page’s late-August announcement as the Parti québécois standard-bearer, leveraging his profile as a local alpinist and philanthropist, has aligned with broader provincial polling gains for the PQ that have shifted the riding from a prior CAQ stronghold. Schneeberger draws on long-term incumbency advantages and established local networks after multiple terms, while Cournoyer’s repeat candidacy from 2022 introduces a conservative option that could fragment support. Boundary adjustments from the latest electoral redistribution and the ongoing campaign launch under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette add further variables that could separate the field before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus in this Centre-du-Québec riding reflects a competitive three-way contest ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with PQ candidate Charles Page, CAQ incumbent Sébastien Schneeberger, and PCQ candidate Myriam Cournoyer positioned as the primary contenders following recent nominations. Page’s late-August announcement as the Parti québécois standard-bearer, leveraging his profile as a local alpinist and philanthropist, has aligned with broader provincial polling gains for the PQ that have shifted the riding from a prior CAQ stronghold. Schneeberger draws on long-term incumbency advantages and established local networks after multiple terms, while Cournoyer’s repeat candidacy from 2022 introduces a conservative option that could fragment support. Boundary adjustments from the latest electoral redistribution and the ongoing campaign launch under new CAQ leader Christine Fréchette add further variables that could separate the field before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Page" at 46%, followed by "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs" is "Charles Page" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sébastien Schneeberger" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec por Drummond-Bois-Francs" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.