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Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%

Emil Parfyonov 26%

Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

Polymarket
NOVO

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%

Emil Parfyonov 26%

Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$23 Vol.

26%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$24 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with projections showing a toss-up driven by the district's history of narrow margins between left-leaning and Liberal support. Vote splitting among Parti Québécois, Conservative, and CAQ candidates further fragments the field and sustains uncertainty ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. Candidate nominations finalized in September, alongside provincial polling trends favoring shifts away from the incumbent government, keep probabilities balanced. Late-campaign developments such as turnout patterns in Montreal's diverse electorate or shifts in local issues like housing and immigration could widen the gap between the leading contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$47
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with projections showing a toss-up driven by the district's history of narrow margins between left-leaning and Liberal support. Vote splitting among Parti Québécois, Conservative, and CAQ candidates further fragments the field and sustains uncertainty ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. Candidate nominations finalized in September, alongside provincial polling trends favoring shifts away from the incumbent government, keep probabilities balanced. Late-campaign developments such as turnout patterns in Montreal's diverse electorate or shifts in local issues like housing and immigration could widen the gap between the leading contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$47
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andrés Fontecilla" at 44%, followed by "Kelly Lazo de la Vega" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" is "Andrés Fontecilla" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kelly Lazo de la Vega" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Laurier-Dorion Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.