The Quintana Roo gubernatorial race for June 2027 remains wide open in early trader pricing, with David Ortiz Mena holding the highest implied probability at 40% amid fragmented fields in both major parties. Morena maintains structural dominance in the state following its 2022 victory, yet internal preference surveys from June and July 2026 show its potential nominees—including Eugenio Segura Vázquez, Rafael Marín Mollinedo, and Ana Patricia Peralta—clustered closely without a clear frontrunner. PAN contenders such as Mayuli Martínez Simón and Ortiz Mena trail significantly in statewide measurements, reflecting opposition disarray and high undecided shares exceeding 70% in some polls. This equilibrium stems from the absence of formal candidate selection processes, limited recent polling differentiation, and the long timeline before primaries or general election dynamics take hold. Official party nominations, fresh surveys, or shifts in federal alignment could quickly reorder probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRoberto Palazuelos Badeaux 23%
Pedro José Flota Alcocer 17%
Marybel Villegas Canché 15%
Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 15%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
23%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
17%

Marybel Villegas Canché
15%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
15%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
14%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
13%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
13%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
13%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
12%

José Luis Pech Várguez
22%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
10%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
9%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
4%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
18%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
9%

David Ortiz Mena
-
Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 23%
Pedro José Flota Alcocer 17%
Marybel Villegas Canché 15%
Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 15%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
23%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
17%

Marybel Villegas Canché
15%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
15%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
14%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
13%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
13%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
13%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
12%

José Luis Pech Várguez
22%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
10%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
9%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
4%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
18%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
9%

David Ortiz Mena
-
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Quintana Roo gubernatorial race for June 2027 remains wide open in early trader pricing, with David Ortiz Mena holding the highest implied probability at 40% amid fragmented fields in both major parties. Morena maintains structural dominance in the state following its 2022 victory, yet internal preference surveys from June and July 2026 show its potential nominees—including Eugenio Segura Vázquez, Rafael Marín Mollinedo, and Ana Patricia Peralta—clustered closely without a clear frontrunner. PAN contenders such as Mayuli Martínez Simón and Ortiz Mena trail significantly in statewide measurements, reflecting opposition disarray and high undecided shares exceeding 70% in some polls. This equilibrium stems from the absence of formal candidate selection processes, limited recent polling differentiation, and the long timeline before primaries or general election dynamics take hold. Official party nominations, fresh surveys, or shifts in federal alignment could quickly reorder probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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