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Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

icon for Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 23%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer 17%

Marybel Villegas Canché 15%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 15%

Polymarket
NOVO

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 23%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer 17%

Marybel Villegas Canché 15%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 15%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

$57 Vol.

23%

icon for Pedro José Flota Alcocer

Pedro José Flota Alcocer

$57 Vol.

17%

icon for Marybel Villegas Canché

Marybel Villegas Canché

$135 Vol.

15%

icon for Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

$57 Vol.

15%

icon for Alexa Murguía Trujillo

Alexa Murguía Trujillo

$132 Vol.

14%

icon for Eugenio Segura Vázquez

Eugenio Segura Vázquez

$57 Vol.

13%

icon for Reyna Tamayo Carballo

Reyna Tamayo Carballo

$57 Vol.

13%

icon for Estefanía Mercado Asencio

Estefanía Mercado Asencio

$247 Vol.

13%

icon for Filiberto Martínez Méndez

Filiberto Martínez Méndez

$131 Vol.

12%

icon for José Luis Pech Várguez

José Luis Pech Várguez

$74 Vol.

22%

icon for Mayuli Martínez Simón

Mayuli Martínez Simón

$57 Vol.

10%

icon for Leslie Hendricks Rubio

Leslie Hendricks Rubio

$57 Vol.

9%

icon for Rafael Marín Mollinedo

Rafael Marín Mollinedo

$57 Vol.

4%

icon for Lidia Rojas Fabro

Lidia Rojas Fabro

$57 Vol.

18%

icon for Amalia Castilla Madrid

Amalia Castilla Madrid

$57 Vol.

9%

icon for David Ortiz Mena

David Ortiz Mena

$57 Vol.

-

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Quintana Roo gubernatorial race for June 2027 remains wide open in early trader pricing, with David Ortiz Mena holding the highest implied probability at 40% amid fragmented fields in both major parties. Morena maintains structural dominance in the state following its 2022 victory, yet internal preference surveys from June and July 2026 show its potential nominees—including Eugenio Segura Vázquez, Rafael Marín Mollinedo, and Ana Patricia Peralta—clustered closely without a clear frontrunner. PAN contenders such as Mayuli Martínez Simón and Ortiz Mena trail significantly in statewide measurements, reflecting opposition disarray and high undecided shares exceeding 70% in some polls. This equilibrium stems from the absence of formal candidate selection processes, limited recent polling differentiation, and the long timeline before primaries or general election dynamics take hold. Official party nominations, fresh surveys, or shifts in federal alignment could quickly reorder probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,349
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Quintana Roo gubernatorial race for June 2027 remains wide open in early trader pricing, with David Ortiz Mena holding the highest implied probability at 40% amid fragmented fields in both major parties. Morena maintains structural dominance in the state following its 2022 victory, yet internal preference surveys from June and July 2026 show its potential nominees—including Eugenio Segura Vázquez, Rafael Marín Mollinedo, and Ana Patricia Peralta—clustered closely without a clear frontrunner. PAN contenders such as Mayuli Martínez Simón and Ortiz Mena trail significantly in statewide measurements, reflecting opposition disarray and high undecided shares exceeding 70% in some polls. This equilibrium stems from the absence of formal candidate selection processes, limited recent polling differentiation, and the long timeline before primaries or general election dynamics take hold. Official party nominations, fresh surveys, or shifts in federal alignment could quickly reorder probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,349
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Ortiz Mena" at 30%, followed by "Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is "David Ortiz Mena" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.