Early polling for Querétaro’s 2027 gubernatorial election shows a competitive field with PAN holding a modest edge over Morena amid high undecided shares. Recent surveys from mid-2026 indicate PAN candidates like Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera and Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero lead internal preferences, while Santiago Nieto Castillo emerges as Morena’s strongest head-to-head option. Multiple aspirants from PAN, Morena, and smaller parties remain active, keeping implied probabilities fragmented across names such as Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez and others below 45 percent. Trader sentiment reflects the open timeline, with nomination processes, further state-level surveys, and national political shifts likely to consolidate support ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoGilberto Herrera Ruiz 36%
Paulina Aguado Romero 34%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 25%
José María Tapia Franco 17%

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
36%

Paulina Aguado Romero
34%

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
21%

José María Tapia Franco
17%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
14%

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
10%

Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
24%

Manuel Garrido Patrón
7%

Abigail Arredondo Ramos
6%

Josué Guerrero Trápala
6%

Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
4%

Agustín Hernández Ortiz
4%

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
4%

Paul Ospital Carrera
4%

Santiago Nieto Castillo
3%

Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
39%

Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
41%

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
-

Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
40%

Mario Mauro Ramírez González
41%

Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
29%
Gilberto Herrera Ruiz 36%
Paulina Aguado Romero 34%
Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 25%
José María Tapia Franco 17%

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz
36%

Paulina Aguado Romero
34%

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa
21%

José María Tapia Franco
17%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera
14%

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero
10%

Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez
24%

Manuel Garrido Patrón
7%

Abigail Arredondo Ramos
6%

Josué Guerrero Trápala
6%

Ricardo Astudillo Suárez
4%

Agustín Hernández Ortiz
4%

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri
4%

Paul Ospital Carrera
4%

Santiago Nieto Castillo
3%

Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez
39%

Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes
41%

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez
-

Laura Patricia Polo Herrera
40%

Mario Mauro Ramírez González
41%

Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero
29%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early polling for Querétaro’s 2027 gubernatorial election shows a competitive field with PAN holding a modest edge over Morena amid high undecided shares. Recent surveys from mid-2026 indicate PAN candidates like Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera and Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero lead internal preferences, while Santiago Nieto Castillo emerges as Morena’s strongest head-to-head option. Multiple aspirants from PAN, Morena, and smaller parties remain active, keeping implied probabilities fragmented across names such as Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez and others below 45 percent. Trader sentiment reflects the open timeline, with nomination processes, further state-level surveys, and national political shifts likely to consolidate support ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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