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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06

Johnny Garrett 60%

Van Hilleary 52%

Jon Henry 16%

Natisha Brooks 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Johnny Garrett 60%

Van Hilleary 52%

Jon Henry 16%

Natisha Brooks 8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Johnny Garrett

$20 Vol.

60%

Van Hilleary

$20 Vol.

36%

Jon Henry

$0 Vol.

16%

Natisha Brooks

$27 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open seat in Tennessee's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, has produced a competitive Republican primary on August 6 featuring Van Hilleary, Johnny Garrett, Jon Henry, and Natisha Brooks. Hilleary and Garrett lead as the main contenders, both emphasizing Trump-aligned positions on immigration, public safety, and energy policy, while drawing substantial fundraising and operating in a redrawn district that incorporates new Middle Tennessee territory. Brooks's recent suspension and endorsement of Hilleary has consolidated some support without yet shifting the balance decisively. Fundraising edges for Garrett, name recognition for Hilleary, and overlapping conservative voter bases have kept probabilities tightly clustered, with separation likely to emerge from final-week endorsements, turnout patterns, or any late polling that clarifies preferences among the district's core Republican electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$67
Data de Término
6 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Johnny Garrett" at 60%, followed by "Van Hilleary" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06" is "Johnny Garrett" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Van Hilleary" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana TN-06" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.