The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 11th Congressional District features multiple candidates in a tight contest ahead of the August 18 vote to replace retiring Representative Dan Webster. Joe Strada’s 58.5% implied probability reflects his substantial self-funding and recent endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and Steve Scalise, which have boosted visibility in a short campaign. Carey Baker’s 32% positioning stems from his prior local officeholding and name recognition in key Lake County areas, while Tim Wilkins, Nizam Razack, and Ivette Palomo each draw support from distinct voter segments. The balance of polling, fundraising reports, and forum performances keeps the field competitive, with any late endorsements or turnout shifts among conservative voters capable of widening gaps before primary day.