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Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

icon for Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 38%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 24%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 49%

Pam Alexis 38%

Lakhwinder Jhaj 24%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$403 Vol.

49%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$23 Vol.

24%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$426
Data de Término
26 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).The Abbotsford-Mission by-election, set for September 26 with advance voting from September 18-23, features a tight contest driven by the recent resignation of Conservative MLA Reann Gasper to enable party leader Kerry-Lynne Findlay to seek a seat. Trader pricing reflects Findlay's narrow edge as the Conservative nominee in a riding the party captured in 2024, offset by Pam Alexis's strong local profile as the former NDP MLA and cabinet minister who lost narrowly there last year. Additional factors include CentreBC's entry of Lakhwinder Jhaj, lingering Conservative caucus defections, a compressed four-week campaign ahead of nominations closing September 5, and the possibility of further candidates. These elements sustain balanced probabilities among leading contenders while leaving room for shifts from turnout patterns, late endorsements, or voter response to provincial issues such as housing and health care.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$426
Data de Término
26 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 49%, followed by "Pam Alexis" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" is "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pam Alexis" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Abbotsford-Mission By-Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.