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icon for Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

icon for Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$11,012 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$11,012 Vol.

Polymarket

US$ 40 trilhões

$5,370 Vol.

94%

US$ 41 trilhões

$582 Vol.

47%

US$ 42 trilhões

$5,060 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.As of early May 2026, US gross national debt neared $39 trillion, having surpassed 100% of GDP last month for the first time since World War II, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, amid persistent federal budget deficits projected at $1.9 trillion for fiscal year 2026 by the Congressional Budget Office. Steady increases reflect rising interest payments—now exceeding defense spending—coupled with mandatory outlays on entitlements and discretionary appropriations, without major revenue enhancements or spending cuts. CBO's February outlook forecasts debt held by the public climbing to 120% of GDP by 2036 under current law. Traders weigh fiscal policy shifts, with upcoming FY2027 budget resolutions and potential debt ceiling deadlines by late 2026 as key catalysts that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$11,012
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.As of early May 2026, US gross national debt neared $39 trillion, having surpassed 100% of GDP last month for the first time since World War II, per Bureau of Economic Analysis data, amid persistent federal budget deficits projected at $1.9 trillion for fiscal year 2026 by the Congressional Budget Office. Steady increases reflect rising interest payments—now exceeding defense spending—coupled with mandatory outlays on entitlements and discretionary appropriations, without major revenue enhancements or spending cuts. CBO's February outlook forecasts debt held by the public climbing to 120% of GDP by 2036 under current law. Traders weigh fiscal policy shifts, with upcoming FY2027 budget resolutions and potential debt ceiling deadlines by late 2026 as key catalysts that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$11,012
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US$ 39 trilhões" at 100%, followed by "US$ 40 trilhões" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" is "US$ 39 trilhões" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "US$ 40 trilhões" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.