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icon for Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)

Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)

icon for Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)

Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)

Fujimori 0,2–0,3% 98.6%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2% <1%

Sánchez 0–0,1% <1%

Fujimori 1%+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,851,963 Vol.

Fujimori 0,2–0,3% 98.6%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2% <1%

Sánchez 0–0,1% <1%

Fujimori 1%+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,851,963 Vol.

Fujimori 1%+

$97,539 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,9–1,0%

$49,553 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,8–0,9%

$45,052 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,7–0,8%

$43,869 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,6–0,7%

$53,044 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,5–0,6%

$115,630 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,4–0,5%

$316,633 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,3–0,4%

$471,904 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,2–0,3%

$246,244 Vol.

99%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2%

$437,522 Vol.

1%

Fujimori 0–0,1%

$327,442 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0–0,1%

$196,770 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,1–0,2%

$148,904 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,2–0,3%

$61,291 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,3–0,4%

$37,198 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,4–0,5%

$35,190 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,5–0,6%

$29,111 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,6–0,7%

$23,147 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,7–0,8%

$16,486 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,8–0,9%

$9,707 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,9–1,0%

$8,728 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez mais de 1%

$9,873 Vol.

<1%

Outro

$71,128 Vol.

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,851,963
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,851,963
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fujimori 0,2–0,3%" at 99%, followed by "Fujimori 0,1–0,2%" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)" has generated $2.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)" is "Fujimori 0,2–0,3%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fujimori 0,1–0,2%" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Peru 2ª Rodada: Margem de Vitória? (0,1% parênteses)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.