Skip to main content
icon for Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite
Política·Cavita

Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite

icon for Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite
Política·Cavita

Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite

Jennifer Austria Barzaga 57%

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat 24%

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr. 22%

Leysander Aguilar Ordenes 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Jennifer Austria Barzaga 57%

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat 24%

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr. 22%

Leysander Aguilar Ordenes 1.7%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Jennifer Austria Barzaga

Jennifer Austria Barzaga

$308 Vol.

57%

icon for Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat

Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat

$189 Vol.

24%

icon for Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr.

Jacinto Bautista Frani Jr.

$119 Vol.

22%

icon for Leysander Aguilar Ordenes

Leysander Aguilar Ordenes

$121 Vol.

2%

icon for Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag

Marvin Opamin Dupal-ag

$41 Vol.

1%

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Volume
$690
Data de Término
29 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.The special election to fill the Cavite 4th Congressional District seat, vacated by the June 2026 expulsion of former Representative Francisco “Kiko” Barzaga, is scheduled for August 29 with proclamation expected the following day. Dasmarinas Mayor Jennifer Austria Barzaga, who filed her certificate of candidacy in mid-July, draws on established local name recognition and family political infrastructure in the district’s main population center. Five candidates ultimately qualified, including Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat and several lesser-known local figures. With roughly one month remaining, trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows a narrow lead for Barzaga alongside viable support for alternatives, consistent with limited public polling data and the influence of municipal-level organization, turnout patterns among the district’s more than 450,000 registered voters, and the short campaign window typical of Philippine special elections. Upcoming official activities through election day could still shift relative positioning.

A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.
Volume
$690
Data de Término
29 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is currently scheduled for August 29, 2026 to fill the 4th congressional district seat of Cavite in the Philippine House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.comelec.gov.ph/.

Relacionado

icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

94%
icon for Scott Timko vencerá a eleição especial para preencher a vaga do Distrito 12 na Câmara dos Representantes da Pensilvânia?

Scott Timko vencerá a eleição especial para preencher a vaga do Distrito 12 na Câmara dos Representantes da Pensilvânia?

81%
Sim
icon for Mike Thompson vencerá a cadeira da Câmara pelo CA-04?

Mike Thompson vencerá a cadeira da Câmara pelo CA-04?

87%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jennifer Austria Barzaga" at 57%, followed by "Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite" is "Jennifer Austria Barzaga" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Raul Rex Del Rosario Mangubat" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Filipinas, Vencedor da Eleição Especial do 4º Distrito Congressional de Cavite" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.