Recent U.S. economic data have produced closely matched market-implied odds for the September annual inflation print, with 3.3% and 3.5% leading at 47.5% and 45.5% respectively. Traders are weighing the trajectory of core CPI components against softening labor-market indicators and the latest Federal Reserve communications on the policy path. Energy-price volatility and shelter-cost trends remain key swing factors that could shift the final reading by a few tenths of a percent. The narrow spread among outcomes near 3.1–3.5% underscores the data-dependent nature of current pricing, with the upcoming CPI release and any intervening high-frequency indicators serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado3,5% 47%
3,7% 47%
3,2% 41%
3,0% 32%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤2,9%
20%
3,0%
32%
3,1%
30%
3,2%
41%
3,3%
25%
3,4%
18%
3,5%
47%
3,6%
22%
3,7%
47%
3,8%
25%
3,9%
31%
≥4,0%
27%
3,5% 47%
3,7% 47%
3,2% 41%
3,0% 32%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤2,9%
$55 Vol.
20%
3,0%
$40 Vol.
32%
3,1%
$36 Vol.
30%
3,2%
$0 Vol.
41%
3,3%
$0 Vol.
25%
3,4%
$0 Vol.
18%
3,5%
$0 Vol.
47%
3,6%
$0 Vol.
22%
3,7%
$0 Vol.
47%
3,8%
$0 Vol.
25%
3,9%
$0 Vol.
31%
≥4,0%
$0 Vol.
27%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. economic data have produced closely matched market-implied odds for the September annual inflation print, with 3.3% and 3.5% leading at 47.5% and 45.5% respectively. Traders are weighing the trajectory of core CPI components against softening labor-market indicators and the latest Federal Reserve communications on the policy path. Energy-price volatility and shelter-cost trends remain key swing factors that could shift the final reading by a few tenths of a percent. The narrow spread among outcomes near 3.1–3.5% underscores the data-dependent nature of current pricing, with the upcoming CPI release and any intervening high-frequency indicators serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volume
$131Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. economic data have produced closely matched market-implied odds for the September annual inflation print, with 3.3% and 3.5% leading at 47.5% and 45.5% respectively. Traders are weighing the trajectory of core CPI components against softening labor-market indicators and the latest Federal Reserve communications on the policy path. Energy-price volatility and shelter-cost trends remain key swing factors that could shift the final reading by a few tenths of a percent. The narrow spread among outcomes near 3.1–3.5% underscores the data-dependent nature of current pricing, with the upcoming CPI release and any intervening high-frequency indicators serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$131Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. economic data have produced closely matched market-implied odds for the September annual inflation print, with 3.3% and 3.5% leading at 47.5% and 45.5% respectively. Traders are weighing the trajectory of core CPI components against softening labor-market indicators and the latest Federal Reserve communications on the policy path. Energy-price volatility and shelter-cost trends remain key swing factors that could shift the final reading by a few tenths of a percent. The narrow spread among outcomes near 3.1–3.5% underscores the data-dependent nature of current pricing, with the upcoming CPI release and any intervening high-frequency indicators serving as the primary near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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