Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—has elevated near-term inflation concerns amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical oil supply shocks. Traders in the September monthly CPI market see these pressures, including gasoline gains near 4% last month and persistent shelter costs, sustaining momentum into the next reading, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 0.1–0.4% outcomes. This reflects uncertainty over whether cooling core goods or moderating services can offset energy volatility ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds align with the latest labor market resilience and Treasury yield movements signaling tighter policy expectations, though any September moderation in fuel prices could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado0,5% 39%
0,2% 38%
0,4% 33%
≤0,0% 27%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤0,0%
27%
0,1%
24%
0,2%
38%
0,3%
24%
0,4%
33%
0,5%
39%
0,6%
26%
0,7%
15%
≥0,8%
16%
0,5% 39%
0,2% 38%
0,4% 33%
≤0,0% 27%
NOVO
NOVO
14 out 2026
≤0,0%
$14 Vol.
27%
0,1%
$14 Vol.
24%
0,2%
$14 Vol.
38%
0,3%
$14 Vol.
24%
0,4%
$14 Vol.
33%
0,5%
$14 Vol.
39%
0,6%
$14 Vol.
26%
0,7%
$14 Vol.
15%
≥0,8%
$264 Vol.
16%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—has elevated near-term inflation concerns amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical oil supply shocks. Traders in the September monthly CPI market see these pressures, including gasoline gains near 4% last month and persistent shelter costs, sustaining momentum into the next reading, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 0.1–0.4% outcomes. This reflects uncertainty over whether cooling core goods or moderating services can offset energy volatility ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds align with the latest labor market resilience and Treasury yield movements signaling tighter policy expectations, though any September moderation in fuel prices could shift the distribution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$372Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—has elevated near-term inflation concerns amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical oil supply shocks. Traders in the September monthly CPI market see these pressures, including gasoline gains near 4% last month and persistent shelter costs, sustaining momentum into the next reading, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 0.1–0.4% outcomes. This reflects uncertainty over whether cooling core goods or moderating services can offset energy volatility ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds align with the latest labor market resilience and Treasury yield movements signaling tighter policy expectations, though any September moderation in fuel prices could shift the distribution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$372Data de Término
15 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data, showing a 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—has elevated near-term inflation concerns amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical oil supply shocks. Traders in the September monthly CPI market see these pressures, including gasoline gains near 4% last month and persistent shelter costs, sustaining momentum into the next reading, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 0.1–0.4% outcomes. This reflects uncertainty over whether cooling core goods or moderating services can offset energy volatility ahead of the October 14 release. Market-implied odds align with the latest labor market resilience and Treasury yield movements signaling tighter policy expectations, though any September moderation in fuel prices could shift the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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