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icon for Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França
Política·França

Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França

icon for Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França
Política·França

Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França

Raphael Glucksmann 75%

Olivier Faure 20%

Segolene Royal 3.0%

Jérôme Guedj 1.9%

Polymarket

$51,574 Vol.

Raphael Glucksmann 75%

Olivier Faure 20%

Segolene Royal 3.0%

Jérôme Guedj 1.9%

Polymarket

$51,574 Vol.

icon for Raphael Glucksmann

Raphael Glucksmann

$20,681 Vol.

75%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,639 Vol.

20%

icon for Segolene Royal

Segolene Royal

$1,992 Vol.

3%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,079 Vol.

2%

icon for Boris Vallaud

Boris Vallaud

$12,311 Vol.

1%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,942 Vol.

1%

icon for Philippe Brun

Philippe Brun

$3,318 Vol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,070 Vol.

1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,402 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,141 Vol.

<1%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.Raphael Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the Socialist Party’s 2027 presidential nominee after announcing his candidacy in late August and entering the closed primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October. The MEP and Place Publique co-president secured broad endorsements from nearly 300 Socialist elected officials and regional leaders, while general-election polling positions him as the strongest center-left contender against far-right frontrunners. Socialist Party first secretary Olivier Faure’s late entry added competition, yet Glucksmann retains an edge among party members and sympathizers eligible to vote. Lower-priced figures such as Faure, Ségolène Royal, and Jérôme Guedj remain in the field but trail in both endorsements and national surveys. The outcome hinges on first-round turnout and any second-round dynamics among the five confirmed candidates.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.

If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.

Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,574
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.Raphael Glucksmann leads trader pricing for the Socialist Party’s 2027 presidential nominee after announcing his candidacy in late August and entering the closed primary scheduled for 9–10 and 16–17 October. The MEP and Place Publique co-president secured broad endorsements from nearly 300 Socialist elected officials and regional leaders, while general-election polling positions him as the strongest center-left contender against far-right frontrunners. Socialist Party first secretary Olivier Faure’s late entry added competition, yet Glucksmann retains an edge among party members and sympathizers eligible to vote. Lower-priced figures such as Faure, Ségolène Royal, and Jérôme Guedj remain in the field but trail in both endorsements and national surveys. The outcome hinges on first-round turnout and any second-round dynamics among the five confirmed candidates.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.

If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.

Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$51,574
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Raphael Glucksmann" at 75%, followed by "Olivier Faure" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França" has generated $51.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França" is "Raphael Glucksmann" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivier Faure" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial do Partido Socialista da França" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.