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icon for SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

icon for SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

US$150-US$200 42%

US$200-US$250 41%

$250+ 41%

No IPO before 2028 1.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

US$150-US$200 42%

US$200-US$250 41%

$250+ 41%

No IPO before 2028 1.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

<US$ 100

$139 Vol.

40%

US$ 100–US$ 150

$147 Vol.

47%

US$150-US$200

$89 Vol.

42%

US$200-US$250

$139 Vol.

41%

$250+

$140 Vol.

41%

No IPO before 2028

$111 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX has fixed its IPO offer price at $135 per share for the June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, directly anchoring the $100-$150 bracket as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability. The company targets a record $75 billion raise and $1.75 trillion valuation based on $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue, with an unusually large 30% retail allocation and 555 million shares offered. First-day trading dynamics, demand momentum, and the resulting opening price remain the key variables that could shift outcomes across the closely matched $150-$200, $200-$250, and $250+ ranges, while the 1.5% probability of no IPO before 2028 confirms the accelerated timeline.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$766
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX has fixed its IPO offer price at $135 per share for the June 11 pricing and June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, directly anchoring the $100-$150 bracket as the leading outcome at 45% implied probability. The company targets a record $75 billion raise and $1.75 trillion valuation based on $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue, with an unusually large 30% retail allocation and 555 million shares offered. First-day trading dynamics, demand momentum, and the resulting opening price remain the key variables that could shift outcomes across the closely matched $150-$200, $200-$250, and $250+ ranges, while the 1.5% probability of no IPO before 2028 confirms the accelerated timeline.

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$766
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US$ 100–US$ 150" at 47%, followed by "US$150-US$200" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" is "US$ 100–US$ 150" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "US$150-US$200" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.