The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$8,522,290 Vol.
$8,522,290 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$8,522,290 Vol.
$8,522,290 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,522,290Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,522,290Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through at least the end of 2026 rests on the absence of credible removal mechanisms during the early portion of his term. Republican control of both chambers of Congress has kept impeachment proceedings off the legislative agenda, while no serious health issues, resignation indications, or invocation of the 25th Amendment have surfaced in official statements or reporting. Recent executive actions on border security and trade policy have sustained core support within the party, limiting internal pressure for leadership change. Midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 could shift House or Senate majorities, yet current structural advantages and polling trends point to continued stability in the executive branch ahead of any potential resolution trigger.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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