Bipartisan Senate negotiations on AI safety legislation, including efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, have gained momentum in mid-September 2026 amid recent industry warnings on model risks. However, House Energy and Commerce Chairman Brett Guthrie has signaled that comprehensive action, such as on the FRONTIER Act, is unlikely before 2027 and cautioned against rushed lame-duck consideration. President Trump has opposed new regulation, House leadership has prioritized other matters ahead of the November midterms and recess, and multiple draft bills face hurdles over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and industry pushback. With limited legislative calendar remaining and persistent partisan and procedural divides, traders assess enactment of a qualifying AI safety bill by year-end as improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEUA promulgam lei de segurança de IA antes de 2027?
EUA promulgam lei de segurança de IA antes de 2027?
Sim
13% chance
$124,828 Vol.
$124,828 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
13% chance
$124,828 Vol.
$124,828 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations on AI safety legislation, including efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, have gained momentum in mid-September 2026 amid recent industry warnings on model risks. However, House Energy and Commerce Chairman Brett Guthrie has signaled that comprehensive action, such as on the FRONTIER Act, is unlikely before 2027 and cautioned against rushed lame-duck consideration. President Trump has opposed new regulation, House leadership has prioritized other matters ahead of the November midterms and recess, and multiple draft bills face hurdles over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and industry pushback. With limited legislative calendar remaining and persistent partisan and procedural divides, traders assess enactment of a qualifying AI safety bill by year-end as improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$124,828Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations on AI safety legislation, including efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, have gained momentum in mid-September 2026 amid recent industry warnings on model risks. However, House Energy and Commerce Chairman Brett Guthrie has signaled that comprehensive action, such as on the FRONTIER Act, is unlikely before 2027 and cautioned against rushed lame-duck consideration. President Trump has opposed new regulation, House leadership has prioritized other matters ahead of the November midterms and recess, and multiple draft bills face hurdles over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and industry pushback. With limited legislative calendar remaining and persistent partisan and procedural divides, traders assess enactment of a qualifying AI safety bill by year-end as improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,828Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan Senate negotiations on AI safety legislation, including efforts led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, have gained momentum in mid-September 2026 amid recent industry warnings on model risks. However, House Energy and Commerce Chairman Brett Guthrie has signaled that comprehensive action, such as on the FRONTIER Act, is unlikely before 2027 and cautioned against rushed lame-duck consideration. President Trump has opposed new regulation, House leadership has prioritized other matters ahead of the November midterms and recess, and multiple draft bills face hurdles over preemption of state laws, enforcement mechanisms, and industry pushback. With limited legislative calendar remaining and persistent partisan and procedural divides, traders assess enactment of a qualifying AI safety bill by year-end as improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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