OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.1% market-implied odds by demonstrating strong gains in software engineering, agentic coding workflows, and enterprise adoption on benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. Traders view the model’s large context window and tool-use performance as likely to secure the top Code Arena WebDev spot by month-end, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (23.5%), which posted competitive but narrower leads on recent arena updates. Other labs remain near zero because their latest releases, such as Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash or various open-weight entries, have not matched the frontier closed models on the specific WebDev agentic tasks tracked by the arena. With resolution days away, any final leaderboard shifts or undisclosed capability updates could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
OpenAI 76.2%
Anthropic 24%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$153,091 Vol.
$153,091 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
76%
Anthropic
24%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 76.2%
Anthropic 24%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$153,091 Vol.
$153,091 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
$30,659 Vol.
76%
Anthropic
$63,675 Vol.
24%
$7,094 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.1% market-implied odds by demonstrating strong gains in software engineering, agentic coding workflows, and enterprise adoption on benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. Traders view the model’s large context window and tool-use performance as likely to secure the top Code Arena WebDev spot by month-end, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (23.5%), which posted competitive but narrower leads on recent arena updates. Other labs remain near zero because their latest releases, such as Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash or various open-weight entries, have not matched the frontier closed models on the specific WebDev agentic tasks tracked by the arena. With resolution days away, any final leaderboard shifts or undisclosed capability updates could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$153,091Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.1% market-implied odds by demonstrating strong gains in software engineering, agentic coding workflows, and enterprise adoption on benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. Traders view the model’s large context window and tool-use performance as likely to secure the top Code Arena WebDev spot by month-end, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (23.5%), which posted competitive but narrower leads on recent arena updates. Other labs remain near zero because their latest releases, such as Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash or various open-weight entries, have not matched the frontier closed models on the specific WebDev agentic tasks tracked by the arena. With resolution days away, any final leaderboard shifts or undisclosed capability updates could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$153,091Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release on September 3 has driven its 76.1% market-implied odds by demonstrating strong gains in software engineering, agentic coding workflows, and enterprise adoption on benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. Traders view the model’s large context window and tool-use performance as likely to secure the top Code Arena WebDev spot by month-end, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (23.5%), which posted competitive but narrower leads on recent arena updates. Other labs remain near zero because their latest releases, such as Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash or various open-weight entries, have not matched the frontier closed models on the specific WebDev agentic tasks tracked by the arena. With resolution days away, any final leaderboard shifts or undisclosed capability updates could still alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Sim
A Alibaba será o terceiro melhor Code Arena | WebDev AI lab no final de setembro de 2026?
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Sim
A Anthropic será o segundo melhor laboratório de IA para WebDev no Code Arena até o final de outubro de 2026?
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Sim
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