OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
OpenAI 79.3%
Anthropic 20%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,875 Vol.
$148,875 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
79%
Anthropic
20%
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 79.3%
Anthropic 20%
Google <1%
Moonshot <1%
$148,875 Vol.
$148,875 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
$29,047 Vol.
79%
Anthropic
$61,821 Vol.
20%
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$20,288 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$148,875Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$148,875Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra (Max) has driven its 79.5% implied probability by claiming the top position on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with a leading 1,797 score, establishing a 35-point margin over Anthropic’s closest Claude variants in agentic web development tasks. This September 5 release demonstrated superior multi-step reasoning, tool use, and frontend coding performance across categories like data analytics and content tools, shifting trader consensus toward OpenAI’s latest large language model. Anthropic holds a secondary 20% position due to its models’ continued strength, while Google and other labs trail significantly on the same benchmark. With resolution at month-end, any further leaderboard updates or capability demonstrations could influence the skin-in-the-game sentiment reflected in these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Sim
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Sim
A Anthropic será o segundo melhor laboratório de IA para WebDev no Code Arena até o final de outubro de 2026?
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Sim
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