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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Política·Trump

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Política·Trump

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. State Department announcement on April 28 of limited-edition "America250" passports featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on interior pages has driven the 73% yes probability, as traders anticipate issuance this summer to commemorate the U.S. semiquincentennial on July 4. The redesign overlays Trump's image on Declaration of Independence text, marking a first for a sitting president in modern history, with no reported delays or opposition since the reveal. Official commitment and production timelines for the restricted release bolster trader consensus, though final rollout hinges on administrative execution before the July 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,326
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. State Department announcement on April 28 of limited-edition "America250" passports featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on interior pages has driven the 73% yes probability, as traders anticipate issuance this summer to commemorate the U.S. semiquincentennial on July 4. The redesign overlays Trump's image on Declaration of Independence text, marking a first for a sitting president in modern history, with no reported delays or opposition since the reveal. Official commitment and production timelines for the restricted release bolster trader consensus, though final rollout hinges on administrative execution before the July 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Volume
$8,326
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 73% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 73¢, the market collectively assigns a 73% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" is 73% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 73% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.