Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who first won the seat in 2024, enters the November 2026 general election unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Dave Beckwith emerged from his party's August 4 primary. The district's partisan lean, reflected in its recent presidential voting margin and consistent Democratic performance in congressional races, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, consistent with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment or unusually weak Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-10
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa VA-10
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$1,608 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$4,999 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who first won the seat in 2024, enters the November 2026 general election unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Dave Beckwith emerged from his party's August 4 primary. The district's partisan lean, reflected in its recent presidential voting margin and consistent Democratic performance in congressional races, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, consistent with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment or unusually weak Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,607Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who first won the seat in 2024, enters the November 2026 general election unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Dave Beckwith emerged from his party's August 4 primary. The district's partisan lean, reflected in its recent presidential voting margin and consistent Democratic performance in congressional races, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, consistent with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment or unusually weak Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,607Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who first won the seat in 2024, enters the November 2026 general election unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Dave Beckwith emerged from his party's August 4 primary. The district's partisan lean, reflected in its recent presidential voting margin and consistent Democratic performance in congressional races, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, consistent with the district's structural advantages for the incumbent party. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican environment or unusually weak Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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