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icon for Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?

Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?

icon for Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?

Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?

$574,669 Vol.

31 mar 2026
Polymarket

$574,669 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$82,467 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and the installation of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, Venezuela’s political transition centers on scheduling a presidential election to fill the vacancy under constitutional rules that normally require action within 30 days after any 180-day interim period. Opposition leader María Corina Machado and allied groups have pressed for National Electoral Council renewal and a vote no later than December 2026, citing recent polling that shows strong public preference for an October–December timeframe. The National Assembly leadership has publicly ruled out near-term balloting to prioritize stability, while the Trump administration has signaled support for safeguards including Machado’s eligibility and institutional reforms before any contest. No formal announcement from electoral authorities has occurred, leaving traders focused on diplomatic talks and any emerging timetable that could shift probabilities in coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574,669
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Nicolás Maduro’s January 2026 capture by U.S. forces and the installation of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, Venezuela’s political transition centers on scheduling a presidential election to fill the vacancy under constitutional rules that normally require action within 30 days after any 180-day interim period. Opposition leader María Corina Machado and allied groups have pressed for National Electoral Council renewal and a vote no later than December 2026, citing recent polling that shows strong public preference for an October–December timeframe. The National Assembly leadership has publicly ruled out near-term balloting to prioritize stability, while the Trump administration has signaled support for safeguards including Machado’s eligibility and institutional reforms before any contest. No formal announcement from electoral authorities has occurred, leaving traders focused on diplomatic talks and any emerging timetable that could shift probabilities in coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$574,669
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 42%, followed by "31 de janeiro" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?" has generated $574.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de janeiro" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial da Venezuela marcada para...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.