United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 61%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 29.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.3%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,237,880 Vol.
$8,237,880 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
61%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
3%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 61%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 29.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.3%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,237,880 Vol.
$8,237,880 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$2,151,591 Vol.
61%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$1,056,883 Vol.
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$2,276,568 Vol.
5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$658,279 Vol.
3%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$574,590 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$936,839 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$583,145 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$8,237,880Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,237,880Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the race for the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, supported by its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and the mixed electoral system that allocates half the 450 mandates through party lists subject to a 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus assigns it the highest implied probability, reflecting consistent historical performance and ongoing preparations that include mobilizing public-sector workers and prioritizing war veterans as candidates. New People has gained recent polling traction in some surveys, positioning it as the leading contender for second place amid managed competition, though it trails significantly. Other parties such as the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia show limited movement, consistent with stable but lower support levels in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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