President Isaac Herzog rebuffed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's formal November 2025 pardon request in late April 2026, declining to grant clemency at this stage and instead inviting Netanyahu's lawyers and prosecutors for talks aimed at a new plea deal to resolve the ongoing corruption trial spanning Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. With Netanyahu's testimony resuming—he appeared for his 86th hearing on May 6—and no advancement in pardon discussions amid political opposition and emphasis on judicial process, traders reflect an 88.5% implied probability of no pardon by June 30. The short timeline and Herzog's preference for negotiated settlement over preemptive pardon highlight formidable institutional barriers, though a breakthrough deal could shift odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$318,064 Vol.
$318,064 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$318,064 Vol.
$318,064 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog rebuffed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's formal November 2025 pardon request in late April 2026, declining to grant clemency at this stage and instead inviting Netanyahu's lawyers and prosecutors for talks aimed at a new plea deal to resolve the ongoing corruption trial spanning Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. With Netanyahu's testimony resuming—he appeared for his 86th hearing on May 6—and no advancement in pardon discussions amid political opposition and emphasis on judicial process, traders reflect an 88.5% implied probability of no pardon by June 30. The short timeline and Herzog's preference for negotiated settlement over preemptive pardon highlight formidable institutional barriers, though a breakthrough deal could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Volume
$318,064Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog rebuffed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's formal November 2025 pardon request in late April 2026, declining to grant clemency at this stage and instead inviting Netanyahu's lawyers and prosecutors for talks aimed at a new plea deal to resolve the ongoing corruption trial spanning Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. With Netanyahu's testimony resuming—he appeared for his 86th hearing on May 6—and no advancement in pardon discussions amid political opposition and emphasis on judicial process, traders reflect an 88.5% implied probability of no pardon by June 30. The short timeline and Herzog's preference for negotiated settlement over preemptive pardon highlight formidable institutional barriers, though a breakthrough deal could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$318,064Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Isaac Herzog rebuffed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's formal November 2025 pardon request in late April 2026, declining to grant clemency at this stage and instead inviting Netanyahu's lawyers and prosecutors for talks aimed at a new plea deal to resolve the ongoing corruption trial spanning Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. With Netanyahu's testimony resuming—he appeared for his 86th hearing on May 6—and no advancement in pardon discussions amid political opposition and emphasis on judicial process, traders reflect an 88.5% implied probability of no pardon by June 30. The short timeline and Herzog's preference for negotiated settlement over preemptive pardon highlight formidable institutional barriers, though a breakthrough deal could shift odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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