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icon for As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?

As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?

icon for As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?

As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?

dez 31

dez 31

$115,635 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$115,635 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$31,883 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung’s August 15, 2026 Liberation Day address proposed direct inter-Korean dialogue to replace the 1953 armistice with a peace regime, advance peaceful coexistence, and explore curbs on North Korea’s nuclear program. This reflects Seoul’s shift to a “peace first” posture that prioritizes tension reduction over immediate denuclearization. Pyongyang has shown no reciprocal interest, having previously designated the South as its principal enemy, severed most communication channels, and strengthened military-economic ties with Russia and China through the 2024 comprehensive strategic partnership and the June 2026 Xi-Kim summit. Limited high-level contact occurred in 2025, but sustained bilateral talks remain stalled. Any near-term resumption would likely depend on parallel U.S.-North Korea engagement or concrete North Korean signals that have not yet materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$115,635
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.South Korean President Lee Jae Myung’s August 15, 2026 Liberation Day address proposed direct inter-Korean dialogue to replace the 1953 armistice with a peace regime, advance peaceful coexistence, and explore curbs on North Korea’s nuclear program. This reflects Seoul’s shift to a “peace first” posture that prioritizes tension reduction over immediate denuclearization. Pyongyang has shown no reciprocal interest, having previously designated the South as its principal enemy, severed most communication channels, and strengthened military-economic ties with Russia and China through the 2024 comprehensive strategic partnership and the June 2026 Xi-Kim summit. Limited high-level contact occurred in 2025, but sustained bilateral talks remain stalled. Any near-term resumption would likely depend on parallel U.S.-North Korea engagement or concrete North Korean signals that have not yet materialized.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$115,635
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 24%, followed by "30 de junho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?" has generated $115.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "As Coreias do Norte e do Sul se envolverão em conversas diretas até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.