Ongoing conflict and stalled diplomacy explain the 78.5% trader consensus against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by December 31. Ceasefire and June 2026 memorandum of understanding opened pathways for nuclear restrictions and sanctions relief, yet renewed attacks on shipping, U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, and disputes over Strait of Hormuz control have derailed momentum into August. UNSC discussions in July highlighted lost continuity on Iran's nuclear program amid strikes, while snapback sanctions from 2025 remain in force and Council members stay divided. Intermediary messaging continues without direct talks or agreed text, leaving insufficient time for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoResolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?
Sim
$161,311 Vol.
$161,311 Vol.
Sim
$161,311 Vol.
$161,311 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing conflict and stalled diplomacy explain the 78.5% trader consensus against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by December 31. Ceasefire and June 2026 memorandum of understanding opened pathways for nuclear restrictions and sanctions relief, yet renewed attacks on shipping, U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, and disputes over Strait of Hormuz control have derailed momentum into August. UNSC discussions in July highlighted lost continuity on Iran's nuclear program amid strikes, while snapback sanctions from 2025 remain in force and Council members stay divided. Intermediary messaging continues without direct talks or agreed text, leaving insufficient time for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions