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Geopolítica·Acordo De Paz

Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?
Geopolítica·Acordo De Paz

Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?

Sim

22% chance
Polymarket

$161,311 Vol.

Sim

22% chance
Polymarket

$161,311 Vol.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing conflict and stalled diplomacy explain the 78.5% trader consensus against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by December 31. Ceasefire and June 2026 memorandum of understanding opened pathways for nuclear restrictions and sanctions relief, yet renewed attacks on shipping, U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, and disputes over Strait of Hormuz control have derailed momentum into August. UNSC discussions in July highlighted lost continuity on Iran's nuclear program amid strikes, while snapback sanctions from 2025 remain in force and Council members stay divided. Intermediary messaging continues without direct talks or agreed text, leaving insufficient time for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement before year-end.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$161,311
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing conflict and stalled diplomacy explain the 78.5% trader consensus against a UNSC resolution endorsing a final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by December 31. Ceasefire and June 2026 memorandum of understanding opened pathways for nuclear restrictions and sanctions relief, yet renewed attacks on shipping, U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, and disputes over Strait of Hormuz control have derailed momentum into August. UNSC discussions in July highlighted lost continuity on Iran's nuclear program amid strikes, while snapback sanctions from 2025 remain in force and Council members stay divided. Intermediary messaging continues without direct talks or agreed text, leaving insufficient time for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement before year-end.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$161,311
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Resolução do CSNU endossando acordo final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $161.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" is "Resolução do CSNU endossando acordo final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Resolução do CSNU Endossando o Acordo Final EUA-Irã até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.