President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a state banquet and bilateral tea meeting on May 14, anchors trader consensus at 96.5% for no insult this week, reflecting diplomatic decorum amid discussions on AI competition, Iran, and trade. Recent public remarks from Trump have emphasized "friendly competition" and expressed anticipation for the talks, diverging from past rhetorical patterns and prioritizing bilateral relations over personal attacks. With the U.S. corporate delegation present and no prior criticisms in the past week, markets price in restraint; however, an impromptu press remark or leaked off-script comment before the week's resolution could prompt a rapid shift, though such scenarios face significant barriers given the summit's gravity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTrump insultará Xi esta semana?
Trump insultará Xi esta semana?
Sim
$60,945 Vol.
$60,945 Vol.
Sim
$60,945 Vol.
$60,945 Vol.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a state banquet and bilateral tea meeting on May 14, anchors trader consensus at 96.5% for no insult this week, reflecting diplomatic decorum amid discussions on AI competition, Iran, and trade. Recent public remarks from Trump have emphasized "friendly competition" and expressed anticipation for the talks, diverging from past rhetorical patterns and prioritizing bilateral relations over personal attacks. With the U.S. corporate delegation present and no prior criticisms in the past week, markets price in restraint; however, an impromptu press remark or leaked off-script comment before the week's resolution could prompt a rapid shift, though such scenarios face significant barriers given the summit's gravity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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