Ukrainian forces withdrew from Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in November 2025 during Russian advances northeast of Hulyaipole, allowing Russian units to consolidate control over the village and nearby settlements. In July 2026, Ukrainian troops achieved reported tactical gains southeast of Oleksandrivka and near Rybne, advancing toward Uspenivka along key ground lines of communication amid broader counterattacks that recaptured limited territory earlier in the year. These developments occur against a backdrop of mutual long-range drone and missile strikes targeting logistics hubs and command nodes, with Ukrainian forces maintaining pressure in the sector while Russian units conduct artillery and infiltration operations. No confirmed Ukrainian re-entry has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though continued localized successes could influence the timeline for any re-entry attempt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Ucrânia voltará a entrar em Uspenivka até...?
$155,089 Vol.
December 31
42%
30 de setembro
13%
$155,089 Vol.
December 31
42%
30 de setembro
13%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces withdrew from Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in November 2025 during Russian advances northeast of Hulyaipole, allowing Russian units to consolidate control over the village and nearby settlements. In July 2026, Ukrainian troops achieved reported tactical gains southeast of Oleksandrivka and near Rybne, advancing toward Uspenivka along key ground lines of communication amid broader counterattacks that recaptured limited territory earlier in the year. These developments occur against a backdrop of mutual long-range drone and missile strikes targeting logistics hubs and command nodes, with Ukrainian forces maintaining pressure in the sector while Russian units conduct artillery and infiltration operations. No confirmed Ukrainian re-entry has occurred as of mid-August 2026, though continued localized successes could influence the timeline for any re-entry attempt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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