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icon for Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas

50-60% 40%

60-70% 29%

70-80% 17%

<50% 13%

Polymarket

$15,145 Vol.

50-60% 40%

60-70% 29%

70-80% 17%

<50% 13%

Polymarket

$15,145 Vol.

<50%

$3,215 Vol.

13%

50-60%

$2,573 Vol.

40%

60-70%

$5,491 Vol.

16%

70-80%

$1,185 Vol.

17%

80%+

$2,681 Vol.

9%

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Voter registration for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election reached approximately 8.79 million eligible citizens after a successful verification drive by the Electoral Commission of Zambia. Recent surveys indicate strong incumbent support alongside notable undecided voters, while economic pressures and limited opposition momentum contribute to moderate mobilization expectations. Historical turnout patterns in Zambian elections, typically ranging between 50 and 70 percent of registered voters, align with current trader pricing that places the 50-60 percent bucket in the lead at 39.5 percent. No major last-minute catalysts have emerged to drive exceptional participation or widespread apathy in the weeks leading to the vote.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$15,145
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Voter registration for Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election reached approximately 8.79 million eligible citizens after a successful verification drive by the Electoral Commission of Zambia. Recent surveys indicate strong incumbent support alongside notable undecided voters, while economic pressures and limited opposition momentum contribute to moderate mobilization expectations. Historical turnout patterns in Zambian elections, typically ranging between 50 and 70 percent of registered voters, align with current trader pricing that places the 50-60 percent bucket in the lead at 39.5 percent. No major last-minute catalysts have emerged to drive exceptional participation or widespread apathy in the weeks leading to the vote.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$15,145
Data de Término
14 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-60%" at 40%, followed by "60-70%" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas" is "50-60%" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "60-70%" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.