PL's commanding position at 75.5% reflects its status as the largest current caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, bolstered by recent party-switching gains that expanded its bloc to around 100 seats ahead of the October 2026 vote. Alignment with presidential frontrunner Flávio Bolsonaro under the same Liberal Party banner has consolidated right-wing support in Brazil's proportional system, where established infrastructure and candidate mobilization often translate into seat advantages. Recent polling showing a statistical tie between Bolsonaro and President Lula da Silva has reinforced trader views that opposition momentum could lift PL's legislative performance. UPB and FE Brasil trail due to more fragmented bases, while smaller parties like MDB and REPUBLICANOS remain marginal amid the polarized field. Upcoming endorsements and campaign alliances through mid-2026 represent the main variables that could still shift seat projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBrazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
REPUBLICANOS 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
76%
UPB
11%
FE Brasil
6%
REPUBLICANOS
2%
MDB
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
1%
PSB
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 11%
FE Brasil 6.4%
REPUBLICANOS 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
$2,917 Объем
76%
UPB
$563 Объем
11%
FE Brasil
$444 Объем
6%
REPUBLICANOS
$343 Объем
2%
MDB
$239 Объем
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 Объем
1%
PSB
$266 Объем
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 Объем
<1%
PSD
$175 Объем
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 Объем
<1%
PDT
$166 Объем
<1%
Avante
$200 Объем
<1%
NOVO
$165 Объем
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 Объем
<1%
PODE
$170 Объем
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL's commanding position at 75.5% reflects its status as the largest current caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, bolstered by recent party-switching gains that expanded its bloc to around 100 seats ahead of the October 2026 vote. Alignment with presidential frontrunner Flávio Bolsonaro under the same Liberal Party banner has consolidated right-wing support in Brazil's proportional system, where established infrastructure and candidate mobilization often translate into seat advantages. Recent polling showing a statistical tie between Bolsonaro and President Lula da Silva has reinforced trader views that opposition momentum could lift PL's legislative performance. UPB and FE Brasil trail due to more fragmented bases, while smaller parties like MDB and REPUBLICANOS remain marginal amid the polarized field. Upcoming endorsements and campaign alliances through mid-2026 represent the main variables that could still shift seat projections.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Объем
$6,460Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL's commanding position at 75.5% reflects its status as the largest current caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, bolstered by recent party-switching gains that expanded its bloc to around 100 seats ahead of the October 2026 vote. Alignment with presidential frontrunner Flávio Bolsonaro under the same Liberal Party banner has consolidated right-wing support in Brazil's proportional system, where established infrastructure and candidate mobilization often translate into seat advantages. Recent polling showing a statistical tie between Bolsonaro and President Lula da Silva has reinforced trader views that opposition momentum could lift PL's legislative performance. UPB and FE Brasil trail due to more fragmented bases, while smaller parties like MDB and REPUBLICANOS remain marginal amid the polarized field. Upcoming endorsements and campaign alliances through mid-2026 represent the main variables that could still shift seat projections.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Объем
$6,460Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL's commanding position at 75.5% reflects its status as the largest current caucus in the Chamber of Deputies, bolstered by recent party-switching gains that expanded its bloc to around 100 seats ahead of the October 2026 vote. Alignment with presidential frontrunner Flávio Bolsonaro under the same Liberal Party banner has consolidated right-wing support in Brazil's proportional system, where established infrastructure and candidate mobilization often translate into seat advantages. Recent polling showing a statistical tie between Bolsonaro and President Lula da Silva has reinforced trader views that opposition momentum could lift PL's legislative performance. UPB and FE Brasil trail due to more fragmented bases, while smaller parties like MDB and REPUBLICANOS remain marginal amid the polarized field. Upcoming endorsements and campaign alliances through mid-2026 represent the main variables that could still shift seat projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы