PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBrazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.5%
REPUBLICANOS 1.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
76%
UPB
10%
FE Brasil
6%
REPUBLICANOS
2%
MDB
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
1%
PSB
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.5%
REPUBLICANOS 1.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PL
$2,917 Объем
76%
UPB
$563 Объем
10%
FE Brasil
$444 Объем
6%
REPUBLICANOS
$343 Объем
2%
MDB
$239 Объем
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 Объем
1%
PSB
$266 Объем
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 Объем
<1%
PSD
$175 Объем
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 Объем
<1%
PDT
$166 Объем
<1%
Avante
$200 Объем
<1%
NOVO
$165 Объем
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 Объем
<1%
PODE
$170 Объем
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Объем
$6,460Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Объем
$6,460Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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