The trader consensus against an ECB rate cut in 2026 reflects the Governing Council's recent hold on the deposit facility rate at 2% amid surging eurozone inflation driven by energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict. April 2026 staff projections revised 2026 headline inflation higher to 2.6%, with core measures also elevated, while Q1 GDP growth slowed to just 0.1%. Hawkish comments from officials including Schnabel and others have reinforced expectations for at least one or two 25-basis-point hikes this year, with June now viewed as a potential tightening point. Surveys of economists align with market pricing, showing a clear shift away from prior easing forecasts as upside inflation risks dominate the near-term outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$27,913 Объем
$27,913 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$27,913 Объем
$27,913 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus against an ECB rate cut in 2026 reflects the Governing Council's recent hold on the deposit facility rate at 2% amid surging eurozone inflation driven by energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict. April 2026 staff projections revised 2026 headline inflation higher to 2.6%, with core measures also elevated, while Q1 GDP growth slowed to just 0.1%. Hawkish comments from officials including Schnabel and others have reinforced expectations for at least one or two 25-basis-point hikes this year, with June now viewed as a potential tightening point. Surveys of economists align with market pricing, showing a clear shift away from prior easing forecasts as upside inflation risks dominate the near-term outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$27,913Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus against an ECB rate cut in 2026 reflects the Governing Council's recent hold on the deposit facility rate at 2% amid surging eurozone inflation driven by energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict. April 2026 staff projections revised 2026 headline inflation higher to 2.6%, with core measures also elevated, while Q1 GDP growth slowed to just 0.1%. Hawkish comments from officials including Schnabel and others have reinforced expectations for at least one or two 25-basis-point hikes this year, with June now viewed as a potential tightening point. Surveys of economists align with market pricing, showing a clear shift away from prior easing forecasts as upside inflation risks dominate the near-term outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$27,913Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The trader consensus against an ECB rate cut in 2026 reflects the Governing Council's recent hold on the deposit facility rate at 2% amid surging eurozone inflation driven by energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict. April 2026 staff projections revised 2026 headline inflation higher to 2.6%, with core measures also elevated, while Q1 GDP growth slowed to just 0.1%. Hawkish comments from officials including Schnabel and others have reinforced expectations for at least one or two 25-basis-point hikes this year, with June now viewed as a potential tightening point. Surveys of economists align with market pricing, showing a clear shift away from prior easing forecasts as upside inflation risks dominate the near-term outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы