Polymarket traders price a 91.3% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 forward guidance that its 25 basis point cut to 6.50%—in a split 3-2 vote—marks the end of a two-year easing cycle. This consensus stems from April 2026 headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, alongside Q1 GDP contracting 0.8% quarter-on-quarter, balancing weak growth against above-target prices. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or peso weakness prompting a hike, or deeper economic slowdown reviving cut expectations ahead of quarterly inflation reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 92.0%
Decrease 5.7%
Increase 3.6%
$10,985 Объем
$10,985 Объем
Decrease
6%
No change
92%
Increase
4%
No change 92.0%
Decrease 5.7%
Increase 3.6%
$10,985 Объем
$10,985 Объем
Decrease
6%
No change
92%
Increase
4%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 91.3% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Mexico's (Banxico) target overnight interbank rate at its June 25, 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's May 7 forward guidance that its 25 basis point cut to 6.50%—in a split 3-2 vote—marks the end of a two-year easing cycle. This consensus stems from April 2026 headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%, alongside Q1 GDP contracting 0.8% quarter-on-quarter, balancing weak growth against above-target prices. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected May CPI data or peso weakness prompting a hike, or deeper economic slowdown reviving cut expectations ahead of quarterly inflation reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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