Eurozone inflation pressures, fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, have driven ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 HICP inflation to 2.6-2.7%, well above the 2% target, prompting officials like Bundesbank's Nagel to advocate potential rate hikes as early as June. On April 30, the ECB held key interest rates unchanged but debated hikes amid intensified upside inflation risks and downside growth threats, as President Lagarde noted the economy deviating from baseline scenarios. A Bloomberg survey last week forecasts two hikes this year, aligning with trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of at least one deposit facility rate increase in 2026, though conflict de-escalation or fading energy shocks could still alter the path ahead of upcoming policy meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Повышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Да
$111,659 Объем
$111,659 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$111,659 Объем
$111,659 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation pressures, fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, have driven ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 HICP inflation to 2.6-2.7%, well above the 2% target, prompting officials like Bundesbank's Nagel to advocate potential rate hikes as early as June. On April 30, the ECB held key interest rates unchanged but debated hikes amid intensified upside inflation risks and downside growth threats, as President Lagarde noted the economy deviating from baseline scenarios. A Bloomberg survey last week forecasts two hikes this year, aligning with trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of at least one deposit facility rate increase in 2026, though conflict de-escalation or fading energy shocks could still alter the path ahead of upcoming policy meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$111,659Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation pressures, fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, have driven ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 HICP inflation to 2.6-2.7%, well above the 2% target, prompting officials like Bundesbank's Nagel to advocate potential rate hikes as early as June. On April 30, the ECB held key interest rates unchanged but debated hikes amid intensified upside inflation risks and downside growth threats, as President Lagarde noted the economy deviating from baseline scenarios. A Bloomberg survey last week forecasts two hikes this year, aligning with trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of at least one deposit facility rate increase in 2026, though conflict de-escalation or fading energy shocks could still alter the path ahead of upcoming policy meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$111,659Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation pressures, fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, have driven ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 HICP inflation to 2.6-2.7%, well above the 2% target, prompting officials like Bundesbank's Nagel to advocate potential rate hikes as early as June. On April 30, the ECB held key interest rates unchanged but debated hikes amid intensified upside inflation risks and downside growth threats, as President Lagarde noted the economy deviating from baseline scenarios. A Bloomberg survey last week forecasts two hikes this year, aligning with trader consensus implying 90.5% odds of at least one deposit facility rate increase in 2026, though conflict de-escalation or fading energy shocks could still alter the path ahead of upcoming policy meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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