The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Повышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Да
$113,878 Объем
$113,878 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$113,878 Объем
$113,878 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$113,878Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$113,878Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held its key interest rates steady at the April 30 meeting amid intensifying upside risks to inflation from energy price spikes tied to the Iran conflict, which lifted Eurozone headline inflation to 3 percent. Recent economist surveys and market pricing now project at least one 25-basis-point hike this year, most likely in June, with a second possible in September to address the revised 2.6–2.7 percent average inflation forecast for 2026. Hawkish signals from officials, including expectations that policy tightening is "all but inevitable" absent rapid de-escalation, have reinforced trader consensus around the high probability of a rate increase before year-end, while the bank continues to emphasize data dependence and avoidance of pre-commitment to any specific path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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