Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 2 сентября?
19°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 14%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
44%
20°C
36%
21°C
8%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
19°C 44%
20°C 36%
18°C 14%
21°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$107 Объем
1%
16°C
$44 Объем
3%
17°C
$71 Объем
4%
18°C
$59 Объем
14%
19°C
$110 Объем
44%
20°C
$86 Объем
36%
21°C
$192 Объем
8%
22°C
$62 Объем
3%
23°C
$106 Объем
<1%
24°C
$211 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$406 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,454Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,454Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on September 2 under partly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's tight clustering at 19°C (45%) and 20°C (36%), reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions close to the early-September climatological average of roughly 18–20°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon cloud development, sea-breeze strength, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the peak by 1°C. South African Weather Service updates and the next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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