Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 31 августа?
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 7%
30°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
64%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 33%
33°C 7%
30°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
64%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional runs points to a maximum of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow following a brief coastal rain event tied to El Niño influences. These conditions favor the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 63.5 % implied probability, with 31 °C close behind. Typical late-August climatology in the coastal plain shows daily highs near 31–32 °C, and current guidance shows limited deviation from that baseline. Updated Israel Meteorological Service briefings and final ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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