**Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across numerical weather prediction models.** Multiple authoritative forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European/global ensembles converge on daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, moderated by onshore sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite clear to partly cloudy conditions. Today’s hotter readings near 32–34°C are expected to ease slightly tomorrow as a weak disturbance introduces minor cloud cover and possible light drizzle, keeping peaks from climbing further. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average highs near 31–32°C and minimal deviation in current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering around 31°C, with limited upside risk for 33°C+ given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous subsidence. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 30 августа?
31°C 66%
32°C 26%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
66%
32°C
26%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 26%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$892 Объем
<1%
28°C
$396 Объем
<1%
29°C
$443 Объем
2%
30°C
$594 Объем
7%
31°C
$947 Объем
66%
32°C
$1,035 Объем
26%
33°C
$363 Объем
2%
34°C
$458 Объем
1%
35°C
$191 Объем
<1%
36°C
$263 Объем
<1%
37°C or higher
$253 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across numerical weather prediction models.**
Multiple authoritative forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European/global ensembles converge on daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, moderated by onshore sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite clear to partly cloudy conditions. Today’s hotter readings near 32–34°C are expected to ease slightly tomorrow as a weak disturbance introduces minor cloud cover and possible light drizzle, keeping peaks from climbing further. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average highs near 31–32°C and minimal deviation in current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering around 31°C, with limited upside risk for 33°C+ given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous subsidence. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,835Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across numerical weather prediction models.**
Multiple authoritative forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European/global ensembles converge on daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, moderated by onshore sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite clear to partly cloudy conditions. Today’s hotter readings near 32–34°C are expected to ease slightly tomorrow as a weak disturbance introduces minor cloud cover and possible light drizzle, keeping peaks from climbing further. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average highs near 31–32°C and minimal deviation in current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering around 31°C, with limited upside risk for 33°C+ given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous subsidence. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,835Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, reflecting broad consensus across numerical weather prediction models.** Multiple authoritative forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and European/global ensembles converge on daytime maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer, moderated by onshore sea breezes that limit extreme heating despite clear to partly cloudy conditions. Today’s hotter readings near 32–34°C are expected to ease slightly tomorrow as a weak disturbance introduces minor cloud cover and possible light drizzle, keeping peaks from climbing further. Historical climatology for late August supports this range, with average highs near 31–32°C and minimal deviation in current model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering around 31°C, with limited upside risk for 33°C+ given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous subsidence. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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