Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 24–26°C, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that moderate coastal minima while partial cloud cover and light drizzle potential limit radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 24°C, with current conditions reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and no strong advection of cooler air masses. This narrow range around the market's clustered mid-20s probabilities explains the near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh minor model spreads in humidity and wind speed against the low likelihood of extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тель-Авиве 30 августа?
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 93%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
93%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
94%
30°C or higher 94%
20°C or below 93%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
93%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 24–26°C, driven by persistent westerly sea breezes off the Mediterranean that moderate coastal minima while partial cloud cover and light drizzle potential limit radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 24°C, with current conditions reflecting stable subtropical high pressure and no strong advection of cooler air masses. This narrow range around the market's clustered mid-20s probabilities explains the near-even split between 30°C-or-higher and 20°C-or-below outcomes, as traders weigh minor model spreads in humidity and wind speed against the low likelihood of extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы