Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 2 сентября?
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 12%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
22%
30°C 49%
29°C 27%
28°C 12%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C in Zhengzhou on September 2 under mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September in the North China Plain. Multiple ensembles show highs of 29–31°C, with differentiation arising from subtle variations in daytime heating rates, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any thin cloud cover or wind shifts that could trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Low humidity and strong insolation support the upper end of this range, while historical climatology places early September averages around 28–30°C, leaving room for model spread reflected in the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29–31°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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