Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April CPI and PPI prints, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since early 2025 and up from the 4.3 percent area seen at the end of April. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, has limited expectations for further policy easing and kept long-term rates anchored higher. Traders are now focusing on upcoming May CPI and employment data releases, along with the June FOMC meeting, for signals on whether sticky price pressures will force a steeper rate path or allow yields to stabilize near current levels. This environment reflects market-implied odds that balance the risk of reacceleration in inflation against potential growth moderation later in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНасколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
Насколько высокой будет доходность 10-летних казначейских облигаций до 2027 года?
$216,563 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
4,6%
95%
4,8%
45%
5,0%
26%
5,2%
11%
5,5%
7%
5,7%
6%
6,0%
4%
$216,563 Объем
4,6%
$37,797 Объем
95%
4,8%
$47,611 Объем
45%
5,0%
$50,065 Объем
26%
5,2%
$9,848 Объем
11%
5,5%
$1,471 Объем
7%
5,7%
$3,229 Объем
6%
6,0%
$2,152 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April CPI and PPI prints, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since early 2025 and up from the 4.3 percent area seen at the end of April. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, has limited expectations for further policy easing and kept long-term rates anchored higher. Traders are now focusing on upcoming May CPI and employment data releases, along with the June FOMC meeting, for signals on whether sticky price pressures will force a steeper rate path or allow yields to stabilize near current levels. This environment reflects market-implied odds that balance the risk of reacceleration in inflation against potential growth moderation later in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Объем
$216,563Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April CPI and PPI prints, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since early 2025 and up from the 4.3 percent area seen at the end of April. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, has limited expectations for further policy easing and kept long-term rates anchored higher. Traders are now focusing on upcoming May CPI and employment data releases, along with the June FOMC meeting, for signals on whether sticky price pressures will force a steeper rate path or allow yields to stabilize near current levels. This environment reflects market-implied odds that balance the risk of reacceleration in inflation against potential growth moderation later in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Объем
$216,563Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, including April CPI and PPI prints, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since early 2025 and up from the 4.3 percent area seen at the end of April. Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, combined with resilient economic growth and elevated Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, has limited expectations for further policy easing and kept long-term rates anchored higher. Traders are now focusing on upcoming May CPI and employment data releases, along with the June FOMC meeting, for signals on whether sticky price pressures will force a steeper rate path or allow yields to stabilize near current levels. This environment reflects market-implied odds that balance the risk of reacceleration in inflation against potential growth moderation later in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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