Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and expected convective showers over Guangzhou on August 25 are keeping the lowest temperature uncertain, with forecasts from regional models centering on 25–27 °C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat-island effects reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range, while any break in precipitation or clearer skies could allow greater cooling toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could hold the minimum near 28 °C. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 25 августа?
32°C или выше 59%
23°C 40%
27°C 28%
28°C 28%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
40%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C или выше
59%
32°C или выше 59%
23°C 40%
27°C 28%
28°C 28%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
40%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C или выше
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and expected convective showers over Guangzhou on August 25 are keeping the lowest temperature uncertain, with forecasts from regional models centering on 25–27 °C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat-island effects reduce the typical 5–7 °C diurnal range, while any break in precipitation or clearer skies could allow greater cooling toward 24 °C or below. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or delayed rain could hold the minimum near 28 °C. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, directly supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 25–28 °C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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