Current forecast models from sources like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and reduced overnight cloud cover limiting radiative warming. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid transitioning monsoon patterns, with low precipitation risk supporting clearer skies and modest cooling. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical variability, where extremes below 22°C remain rare in early September. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 2 сентября?
26°C 87%
25°C 83%
23°C 82%
27°C 82%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
19°C or below
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
53%
22°C
17%
23°C
82%
24°C
60%
25°C
83%
26°C
87%
27°C
82%
28°C
82%
29°C or higher
37%
26°C 87%
25°C 83%
23°C 82%
27°C 82%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$8 Объем
3%
20°C
$63 Объем
3%
21°C
$63 Объем
53%
22°C
$0 Объем
17%
23°C
$0 Объем
82%
24°C
$0 Объем
60%
25°C
$0 Объем
83%
26°C
$0 Объем
87%
27°C
$0 Объем
82%
28°C
$5 Объем
82%
29°C or higher
$5 Объем
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and reduced overnight cloud cover limiting radiative warming. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid transitioning monsoon patterns, with low precipitation risk supporting clearer skies and modest cooling. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical variability, where extremes below 22°C remain rare in early September. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$144Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and reduced overnight cloud cover limiting radiative warming. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid transitioning monsoon patterns, with low precipitation risk supporting clearer skies and modest cooling. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical variability, where extremes below 22°C remain rare in early September. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$144Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 2, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and reduced overnight cloud cover limiting radiative warming. This aligns with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 58.5% implied probability, slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 25°C for the date. Recent model runs show consistency in this range amid transitioning monsoon patterns, with low precipitation risk supporting clearer skies and modest cooling. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics against historical variability, where extremes below 22°C remain rare in early September. Updated official guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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