Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Джидде 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Джидде 26 августа?
25°C or below 81%
31°C 50%
32°C 49%
30°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
81%
26°C
45%
27°C
45%
28°C
45%
29°C
45%
30°C
48%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
27%
34°C
45%
35°C или выше
1%
25°C or below 81%
31°C 50%
32°C 49%
30°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$0 Объем
81%
26°C
$0 Объем
45%
27°C
$0 Объем
45%
28°C
$0 Объем
45%
29°C
$0 Объем
45%
30°C
$0 Объем
48%
31°C
$0 Объем
50%
32°C
$49 Объем
37%
33°C
$0 Объем
27%
34°C
$0 Объем
45%
35°C или выше
$6 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$55Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$55Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 25°C or below outcome leading at 47.5% implied probability primarily because short-range forecast models indicate possible enhanced marine-layer cooling and increased cloud cover over the Red Sea coast on August 26, which could suppress overnight radiative heating in Jeddah’s typically humid environment. With typical August minimums near 29–31°C based on historical climatology and recent NCM guidance showing persistent heat but variable wind patterns, the elevated weighting on cooler bins reflects model consensus around potential sea-breeze strengthening or transient upper-level trough influence that lowers the daily low. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and official Saudi meteorological briefings within the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts, as resolution hinges on the precise observed minimum recorded by local stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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