Persistent hot, humid conditions with clear skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds are the main drivers keeping Karachi's minimum temperature on September 21 tightly clustered around 26–28°C in forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models. High dew points near 24–25°C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while ongoing sea breezes sustain overnight lows near or slightly above the September climatological average of 26°C. This uncertainty in the precise minimum—whether radiative losses allow a dip to 26°C or humidity caps it at 27–28°C—explains the market's near-even implied probabilities for those three outcomes. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine the resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Карачи 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Карачи 21 сентября?
23°C или ниже 69%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
24°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
69%
24°C
19%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
52%
28°C
50%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
23°C или ниже 69%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
24°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
69%
24°C
$0 Объем
19%
25°C
$5 Объем
40%
26°C
$0 Объем
48%
27°C
$120 Объем
52%
28°C
$85 Объем
50%
29°C
$0 Объем
<1%
30°C
$37 Объем
<1%
31°C
$0 Объем
<1%
32°C
$37 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$37 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, humid conditions with clear skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds are the main drivers keeping Karachi's minimum temperature on September 21 tightly clustered around 26–28°C in forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models. High dew points near 24–25°C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while ongoing sea breezes sustain overnight lows near or slightly above the September climatological average of 26°C. This uncertainty in the precise minimum—whether radiative losses allow a dip to 26°C or humidity caps it at 27–28°C—explains the market's near-even implied probabilities for those three outcomes. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$321Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot, humid conditions with clear skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds are the main drivers keeping Karachi's minimum temperature on September 21 tightly clustered around 26–28°C in forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models. High dew points near 24–25°C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while ongoing sea breezes sustain overnight lows near or slightly above the September climatological average of 26°C. This uncertainty in the precise minimum—whether radiative losses allow a dip to 26°C or humidity caps it at 27–28°C—explains the market's near-even implied probabilities for those three outcomes. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$321Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot, humid conditions with clear skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds are the main drivers keeping Karachi's minimum temperature on September 21 tightly clustered around 26–28°C in forecasts from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models. High dew points near 24–25°C limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while ongoing sea breezes sustain overnight lows near or slightly above the September climatological average of 26°C. This uncertainty in the precise minimum—whether radiative losses allow a dip to 26°C or humidity caps it at 27–28°C—explains the market's near-even implied probabilities for those three outcomes. Updated model runs and official overnight observations will refine the resolution threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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