Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with the 13.5°C climatological average, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Southwest winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection reduces the chance of cooler readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because updated guidance shows little model spread on minimum temperature thresholds, with only minor adjustments possible from final evening observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 29 августа?
16°C 46%
17°C 39%
15°C 13%
13°C 4%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
13%
16°C
46%
17°C
39%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C или выше
<1%
16°C 46%
17°C 39%
15°C 13%
13°C 4%
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
13%
16°C
46%
17°C
39%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29 under southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with the 13.5°C climatological average, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Southwest winds and high humidity further moderate overnight drops, while the absence of clear skies or northerly advection reduces the chance of cooler readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–17°C because updated guidance shows little model spread on minimum temperature thresholds, with only minor adjustments possible from final evening observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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