Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 15 июня?
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
21°C 17.8%
24°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
21%
22°C
42%
23°C
32%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C или выше
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 32%
21°C 17.8%
24°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$522 Объем
<1%
18°C
$27 Объем
1%
19°C
$51 Объем
1%
20°C
$83 Объем
11%
21°C
$56 Объем
21%
22°C
$26 Объем
42%
23°C
$3 Объем
32%
24°C
$381 Объем
12%
25°C
$31 Объем
4%
26°C
$165 Объем
1%
27°C или выше
$761 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Объем
$1,958Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,958Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 15 indicate minimum temperatures clustering around 21–23°C, driven by typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model outputs show slight spreads tied to the timing and extent of passing showers, which can suppress lows by retaining heat or allow brief dips near 21°C under clearer intervals. Historical June climatology places average overnight lows near 22–24°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders weighting the most probable outcomes based on the latest model runs and local urban heat influences ahead of final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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