Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
25°C 32%
26°C 26%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
26%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 32%
26°C 26%
27°C 16%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
32%
26°C
26%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by moderate northerly flow off the Black Sea, partial cloud cover, and typical early-summer Mediterranean sea-breeze cooling that caps afternoon peaks near the 26 °C climatological average. Trader positioning spreads across 24–28 °C brackets because small shifts in timing of any clearing skies, wind direction changes, or boundary-layer moisture can alter the daily high by 2–3 °C. Official resolution uses Turkish Meteorological Service station data, so model bias relative to that site remains a key uncertainty two days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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