Recent forecast model runs from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will likely fall between 27–30°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies, advection of warmer air from the interior, and moderating influences from the cooler Sea of Marmara waters, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C depending on wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, with occasional excursions above 29°C when high-pressure ridges strengthen, while ensemble spread in current guidance creates the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
27%
29°C
35%
30°C
22%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
28°C 27%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$161 Объем
3%
27°C
$141 Объем
8%
28°C
$74 Объем
27%
29°C
$226 Объем
35%
30°C
$527 Объем
22%
31°C
$479 Объем
8%
32°C
$908 Объем
1%
33°C
$211 Объем
<1%
34°C
$730 Объем
<1%
35°C
$516 Объем
<1%
36°C or higher
$334 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will likely fall between 27–30°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies, advection of warmer air from the interior, and moderating influences from the cooler Sea of Marmara waters, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C depending on wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, with occasional excursions above 29°C when high-pressure ridges strengthen, while ensemble spread in current guidance creates the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$4,261Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will likely fall between 27–30°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies, advection of warmer air from the interior, and moderating influences from the cooler Sea of Marmara waters, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C depending on wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, with occasional excursions above 29°C when high-pressure ridges strengthen, while ensemble spread in current guidance creates the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,261Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from meteorological agencies indicate Istanbul's June 15 maximum will likely fall between 27–30°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key differentiating factors include daytime solar heating under mostly clear skies, advection of warmer air from the interior, and moderating influences from the cooler Sea of Marmara waters, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C depending on wind direction and boundary-layer mixing. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, with occasional excursions above 29°C when high-pressure ridges strengthen, while ensemble spread in current guidance creates the observed uncertainty among closely matched outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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