**Trader sentiment centers on 26–27°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Shanghai on September 2, reflecting numerical weather model consensus that persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling.** Forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with a high probability of rain or thunderstorms, which trap heat near the surface. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 20–25°C but are elevated by moist air masses and reduced clear-sky cooling. Model agreement on these factors, combined with the absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the market-implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts not currently indicated. Final resolution depends on official observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 2 сентября?
26°C 47%
27°C 34%
24°C 16%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
11%
26°C
47%
27°C
34%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 34%
24°C 16%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
1%
23°C
$61 Объем
12%
24°C
$41 Объем
16%
25°C
$238 Объем
11%
26°C
$89 Объем
47%
27°C
$265 Объем
34%
28°C
$117 Объем
2%
29°C
$20 Объем
2%
30°C
$135 Объем
<1%
31°C
$100 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$341 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 26–27°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Shanghai on September 2, reflecting numerical weather model consensus that persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling.**
Forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with a high probability of rain or thunderstorms, which trap heat near the surface. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 20–25°C but are elevated by moist air masses and reduced clear-sky cooling. Model agreement on these factors, combined with the absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the market-implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts not currently indicated. Final resolution depends on official observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,412Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 26–27°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Shanghai on September 2, reflecting numerical weather model consensus that persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling.**
Forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with a high probability of rain or thunderstorms, which trap heat near the surface. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 20–25°C but are elevated by moist air masses and reduced clear-sky cooling. Model agreement on these factors, combined with the absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the market-implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts not currently indicated. Final resolution depends on official observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,412Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on 26–27°C as the most probable minimum temperature for Shanghai on September 2, reflecting numerical weather model consensus that persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light easterly winds will limit overnight radiative cooling.** Forecasts from multiple sources show overnight lows near 24–27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with a high probability of rain or thunderstorms, which trap heat near the surface. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 20–25°C but are elevated by moist air masses and reduced clear-sky cooling. Model agreement on these factors, combined with the absence of strong cold-air advection, underpins the market-implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies or unexpected wind shifts not currently indicated. Final resolution depends on official observations from the China Meteorological Administration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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